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NOAA NOAA United States Department of Commerce

Tropical Depression ELEVEN


ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4      
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112015               
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD         
2100 UTC MON SEP 28 2015                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN WAS LOCATED NEAR  
LATITUDE 27.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
BAR HARBOR ME  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
PORTLAND ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
CONCORD NH     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
 
BOSTON MA      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)
 
HYANNIS MA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)
 
NANTUCKET MA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)
 
PROVIDENCE RI  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)
 
HARTFORD CT    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)
 
MONTAUK POINT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)
 
NEW YORK CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)
 
NEWARK NJ      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)
 
TRENTON NJ     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)
 
ATLANTIC CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   9(11)
 
BALTIMORE MD   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)
 
DOVER DE       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   8(10)
 
ANNAPOLIS MD   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)
 
WASHINGTON DC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)
 
OCEAN CITY MD  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   9(13)
OCEAN CITY MD  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
 
RICHMOND VA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   5( 8)
 
NORFOLK NAS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   7(13)
 
NORFOLK VA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   8(14)
 
WALLOPS CDA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   9(13)
 
GREENSBORO NC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
RALEIGH NC     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   3( 6)
 
CAPE HATTERAS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  11(14)   7(21)
CAPE HATTERAS  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)
 
MOREHEAD CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  10(13)   6(19)
MOREHEAD CITY  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
WILMINGTON NC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   6( 9)   4(13)
WILMINGTON NC  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
COLUMBIA SC    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
MYRTLE BEACH   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   2(10)
 
CHARLESTON SC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)
 
SAVANNAH GA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
GRAND BAHAMA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
NEW PROVIDENCE 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)
 
SAN SALVADOR   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER PASCH                                                    
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