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TROPICAL STORM JOAQUIN ADVISORY NUMBER 10...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112015
500 AM EDT WED SEP 30 2015
Corrected to show Hurricane Watch for the Northwestern Bahamas
excluding Andros Island.
...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...
...HURRICANE HUNTERS ON THEIR WAY TO INVESTIGATE JOAQUIN...
SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
ABOUT 240 MI...390 KM ENE OF THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 245 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
The government of the Bahamas has issued a Hurricane Warning for
the central Bahamas, including Cat Island, the Exumas, Long Island,
Rum Cay, and San Salvador.
The government of the Bahamas has issued a Hurricane Watch for the
northwestern Bahamas excluding Andros Island. This includes the
Abacos, Berry Islands, Bimini, Eleuthera, Grand Bahama Island, and
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Central Bahamas
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Northwestern Bahamas excluding Andros Island
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued
36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical storm
force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous. Preparations to protect life and property should be
rushed to completion.
A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area, in this case within the next 36 to 48 hours.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products
issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Joaquin was
located near latitude 25.4 North, longitude 72.5 West. Joaquin is
moving toward the west-southwest near 6 mph (9 km/h), and this
motion is expected to continue through tonight. A turn toward the
west and a decrease in forward speed are forecast on Thursday. On
the forecast track, the center of Joaquin is expected to move near
or over portions of the central Bahamas tonight and Thursday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher
gusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and
Joaquin is forecast to become a hurricane today. An Air Force
Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is en route to investigate Joaquin
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km)
from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 988 mb (29.18 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected to reach the hurricane
warning area by midday Thursday. Winds are expected to first reach
tropical storm strength in the warning area tonight, making outside
preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life
and property should be rushed to completion.
RAINFALL: Joaquin is expected to produce 5 to 10 inches of rain
with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches possible over San
Salvador and Rum Cay through Friday morning. Rainfall amounts of 3
to 5 inches are possible over the remainder of the central Bahamas
through Friday morning, with 2 to 4 inches expected over the
northwestern and southeastern Bahamas.
SURF: Swells generated by Joaquin will affect portions of the
Bahamas during the next few days, and will begin to affect portions
of the east coast of Florida and the southeast coast of the United
States by Friday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your
local weather office.
Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM EDT.
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT.