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HURRICANE JOAQUIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  39
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112015
0900 UTC WED OCT 07 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.5N  49.4W AT 07/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  75 DEGREES AT  28 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  977 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  50SE  30SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 140SE 120SW  90NW.
34 KT.......150NE 210SE 240SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 240SE 360SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.5N  49.4W AT 07/0900Z
AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 40.2N  51.3W

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 41.4N  43.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 150SE 150SW  80NW.
34 KT...150NE 240SE 240SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 42.4N  35.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 180SE 180SW   0NW.
34 KT...180NE 300SE 300SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 43.3N  28.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...300NE 300SE 300SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 44.2N  23.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...240NE 300SE 300SW 210NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 44.0N  16.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...240NE 120SE 240SW 240NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 43.0N  12.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 40.5N  49.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN


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