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Tropical Storm FRED


ZCZC MIATCPAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
500 PM AST SUN AUG 30 2015

...FRED CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN...
...EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE OVERNIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.4N 21.3W
ABOUT 150 MI...245 KM ESE OF PRAIA IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Cape Verde Islands

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 12
to 24 hours.  Preparations to protect life and property should be
rushed to completion.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fred was
located near latitude 14.4 North, longitude 21.3 West.  Fred is
moving toward the northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h).  A northwestward
motion at a slightly slower forward speed is expected through
Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 65 mph (100 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Additional strengthening is expected, and
Fred is forecast to become a hurricane tonight or early Monday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb (29.47 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected to reach portions of
the Cape Verde Islands overnight, with hurricane conditions
beginning late tonight or early Monday morning.

STORM SURGE:  A storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding
in areas of onshore winds in the Cape Verde Islands.  Near the
coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.

RAINFALL:  Fred is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
3 to 5 inches over the Cape Verde Islands, with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 8 inches.  These rains could produce
life-threatening flash flooding and mud slides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown

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