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Hurricane VANCE


ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
HURRICANE VANCE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  22                 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014               
1500 UTC TUE NOV 04 2014                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE VANCE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE    
19.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H.                                         
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT 8 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
CABO SAN LUCAS 34  2   6( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
SAN JOSE CABO  34  2   8(10)   2(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
LA PAZ         34  1   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
LOS MOCHIS     34  X   2( 2)   4( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
CULIACAN       34  1   4( 5)   6(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
MAZATLAN       34  1  24(25)   4(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)
MAZATLAN       50  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
SAN BLAS       34  1   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
P VALLARTA     34  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
ISLAS MARIAS   34  6  13(19)   1(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    
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