Hurricane VANCE
ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE VANCE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212014
1500 UTC TUE NOV 04 2014
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE VANCE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
19.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT 8 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 2 6( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 2 8(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
LA PAZ 34 1 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
LOS MOCHIS 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
CULIACAN 34 1 4( 5) 6(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
MAZATLAN 34 1 24(25) 4(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29)
MAZATLAN 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SAN BLAS 34 1 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
P VALLARTA 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ISLAS MARIAS 34 6 13(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
NNNN