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Tropical Storm VANCE


ZCZC MIATCPEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM VANCE ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
800 AM PDT SAT NOV 01 2014

...VANCE IS A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...9.6N 103.2W
ABOUT 550 MI...885 KM SSW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM VANCE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 103.2 WEST. VANCE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST AT A FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY...
FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST BY SUNDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND VANCE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY SUNDAY NIGHT.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE

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