Tropical Storm ODILE

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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ODILE ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014
800 AM PDT WED SEP 17 2014

...ODILE WEAKENING WHILE IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE
NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA...
...HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHWESTERN
MEXICO AND THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.6N 113.3W
ABOUT 50 MI...85 KM SSE OF PUERTO PENASCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR ALL OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...AND ALSO FOR
MAINLAND MEXICO SOUTH OF BAHIA KINO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MAINLAND MEXICO FROM BAHIA KINO TO PUERTO PENASCO

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ODILE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ODILE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.3 WEST. ODILE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE TODAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
ODILE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA
THIS MORNING...AND MOVE INTO NORTHWESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO THIS
AFTERNOON.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED UNTIL LANDFALL...BUT
RAPID WEAKENING WILL OCCUR AFTER ODILE MOVES INLAND OVER MAINLAND
MEXICO.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER. DURING THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS...A WIND GUST TO
41 MPH...66 KM/H...WAS REPORTED AT CABORCA IN THE MEXICAN STATE OF
SONORA.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA TODAY.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO DIMINISH BY TONIGHT AFTER ODILE MOVES INLAND.

STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE COULD STILL PRODUCE COASTAL FLOODING IN
AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS...AND ALSO FROM NEAR SAN FELIPE AROUND THE
FAR NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA COAST TO NEAR PUERTO PENASCO.  NEAR
THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DAMAGING
WAVES.

RAINFALL...ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6
TO 12 INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF 18 INCHES ACROSS THE MEXICAN
STATE OF SONORA.  THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-
THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. DURING THE PAST 24
HOURS...A RAINFALL TOTAL OF 2.57 INCHES...62 MM...WAS OBSERVED AT
CABORCA MEXICO.

MOISTURE AHEAD OF ODILE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3
TO 6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF 9 INCHES ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN
ARIZONA AND SOUTHWESTERN NEW MEXICO...POSSIBLY EXTENDING INTO
WESTERN TEXAS THROUGH FRIDAY.  THESE RAINS COULD RESULT IN LIFE-
THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

SURF...SWELLS FROM ODILE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA AND THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO.  THESE
SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT
CONDITIONS.  PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 AM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

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