Tropical Depression TWELVE-E

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122014
2100 UTC MON AUG 18 2014
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 117.9W AT 18/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 117.9W AT 18/2100Z
AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 117.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 17.0N 118.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE   0SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 17.6N 119.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 18.2N 120.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 18.9N 120.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 20.6N 121.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 23.0N 123.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 25.3N 125.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 117.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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