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Tropical Storm JULIO


ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM JULIO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7            
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP102014               
1500 UTC TUE AUG 05 2014                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JULIO WAS LOCATED NEAR        
LATITUDE 14.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 124.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
15N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  20(25)   1(26)
15N 145W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   X( 8)
15N 145W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)
 
20N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  21(24)   2(26)
20N 145W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)
20N 145W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
HILO           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)
 
SOUTH POINT    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)
 
KAILUA-KONA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)
 
KAHULUI        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)
 
LANAI CITY     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)
 
KAUNAKAKAI     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)
 
HONOLULU       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BRENNAN                                                  
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