Hurricane CRISTINA

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HURRICANE CRISTINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032014
2100 UTC THU JUN 12 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 107.8W AT 12/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  945 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE 110SW 160NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 107.8W AT 12/2100Z
AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 107.5W

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 17.6N 108.9W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 18.4N 110.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 19.1N 111.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 19.5N 112.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 19.7N 113.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 19.8N 115.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 19.5N 119.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 107.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG


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