Hurricane RAYMOND

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BULLETIN
HURRICANE RAYMOND ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172013
800 AM PDT TUE OCT 22 2013
 
...RAYMOND WEAKENING...
...HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT CONTINUES FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH-CENTRAL
MEXICO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...16.5N 101.9W
ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM SSW OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO
ABOUT 135 MI...220 KM WSW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...966 MB...28.53 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* TECPAN DE GALEANA TO LAZARO CARDENAS
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ACAPULCO TO TECPAN DE GALEANA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ACAPULCO TO TECPAN DE GALEANA
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RAYMOND WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.9 WEST. RAYMOND HAS
BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY FOR THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. SOME SLOW
AND ERRATIC MOTION IS POSSIBLE TODAY...AND RAYMOND COULD MOVE
CLOSER TO THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA
TODAY. A SLOW MOTION TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN
ON WEDNESDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT
IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE RAYMOND LATER TODAY.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80
MILES...130 KM.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 966 MB...28.53 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...RAYMOND IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF UP TO 12 INCHES OVER THE MEXICAN
STATES OF GUERRERO AND MICHOACAN. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-
THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. AN OBSERVING STATION NEAR
ACAPULCO REPORTED A RAINFALL TOTAL OF 7.63 INCHES...194 MM...IN THE
48 HOURS ENDING AT 500 AM PDT...1200 UTC. 
 
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN IN PORTIONS
OF THE WARNING AREA TODAY. HURRICANE CONDITIONS MAY OCCUR IN
PORTIONS OF THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA LATER TODAY IF THE CENTER OF
RAYMOND MOVES CLOSER TO THE COAST THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST.
 
STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT
COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS WITHIN THE WARNING
AREAS. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND
DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.
 
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY RAYMOND ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE
INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
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NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 AM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
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