Tropical Storm MANUEL

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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MANUEL ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132013
800 AM PDT SAT SEP 14 2013
 
...TORRENTIAL RAINS OCCURRING IN MEXICO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...16.2N 102.4W
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM S OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO
ABOUT 230 MI...370 KM SSE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 0 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ACAPULCO TO MANZANILLO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF MANUEL.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
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AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MANUEL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.4 WEST. MANUEL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H.  A NORTH-NORTHWEST
MOTION IS FORECAST TO BEGIN LATER TODAY AND CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...MANUEL SHOULD BE NEAR THE COAST OF
SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY EARLY SUNDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...85
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME FURTHER INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS
POSSIBLE UNTIL LANDFALL ON SUNDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
BASED ON A SHIP REPORT...THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
994 MB...29.35 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
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RAINFALL...MANUEL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 10 TO 15 INCHES OF RAIN
OVER PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF OAXACA AND GUERRERO...WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 25 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...
ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.  THE MEXICAN WEATHER SERVICE HAS
ALREADY RECEIVED A REPORT OF ABOUT 8 INCHES OF RAIN IN EASTERN
OAXACA.
 
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN IN PORTIONS
OF THE WARNING AREA LATER TODAY.
 
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY MANUEL ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF
THE COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AND MANZANILLO.
THESE SWELLS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...AND ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP
CURRENT CONDITIONS.  PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL
WEATHER OFFICE.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
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NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 AM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
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