Tropical Storm MIRIAM

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TROPICAL STORM MIRIAM FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132012
2100 UTC SUN SEP 23 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 110.5W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  60SE  30SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 110.5W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 110.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 16.8N 111.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 17.9N 113.4W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 18.7N 114.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 19.4N 115.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 20.7N 115.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  50SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 22.3N 116.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 23.5N 116.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 110.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
 
 
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