Hurricane MICHAEL

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HURRICANE MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132012
0300 UTC MON SEP 10 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.6N  44.4W AT 10/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.6N  44.4W AT 10/0300Z
AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.6N  44.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 33.8N  45.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 34.8N  47.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 37.3N  48.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 40.9N  46.9W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 48.0N  40.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE 100SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z...ABSORBED BY A FRONT
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.6N  44.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS
 
 
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