Tropical Storm LESLIE

ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM LESLIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  38           
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122012               
2100 UTC SAT SEP 08 2012                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LESLIE WAS LOCATED NEAR       
LATITUDE 29.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H.                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
I.  MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE                
                                                                    
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF 
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES 
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.              
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT.  X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS 
THAN 1 PERCENT.                                                     
                                                                    
                                                                    
      - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -      
                                                                    
VALID TIME   06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
FORECAST HOUR   12      24      36      48      72      96     120  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED       X       X       X       X       2       5      22
TROP DEPRESSION  1       2       1       1       7      17      33
TROPICAL STORM  67      49      27      24      49      57      42
HURRICANE       32      50      72      74      43      22       4
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1       30      42      50      44      31      18       3
HUR CAT 2        2       5      16      19       9       3       X
HUR CAT 3        X       2       5       9       3       1       X
HUR CAT 4        X       X       1       2       X       X       X
HUR CAT 5        X       X       X       X       X       X       X
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND   60KT    65KT    75KT    80KT    70KT    60KT    40KT
                                                                    
                                                                    
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS             
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  23(25)   8(33)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   3(11)
HIBERNIA OILFD 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  21(21)  29(50)   2(52)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  16(19)   1(20)
CAPE RACE NFLD 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   X( 6)
 
ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  27(27)  20(47)   X(47)
ILE ST PIERRE  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  10(16)   1(17)
ILE ST PIERRE  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)
 
BURGEO NFLD    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  14(14)  13(27)   1(28)
BURGEO NFLD    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   X( 7)
BURGEO NFLD    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 
PTX BASQUES    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)   8(19)   1(20)
PTX BASQUES    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)
PTX BASQUES    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)
 
EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  13(13)   5(18)   1(19)
EDDY POINT NS  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
EDDY POINT NS  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  15(15)   8(23)   X(23)
SYDNEY NS      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)
SYDNEY NS      64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  33(33)   6(39)   X(39)
SABLE ISLAND   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)   2(13)   X(13)
SABLE ISLAND   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)
 
HALIFAX NS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)
 
BERMUDA        34 15  18(33)   7(40)   1(41)   X(41)   X(41)   X(41)
BERMUDA        50  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER AVILA                                                    
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