Tropical Storm LESLIE

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TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  44
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122012
0900 UTC MON SEP 10 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NEWFOUNDLAND FROM STONES COVE TO CHARLOTTETOWN
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NEWFOUNDLAND FROM INDIAN HARBOUR TO STONES COVE
* NEWFOUNDLAND FROM FOGO ISLAND TO CHARLOTTETOWN
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.7N  61.2W AT 10/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  15 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 80NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE 140SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 300SE 240SW 280NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.7N  61.2W AT 10/0900Z
AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.1N  61.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 38.8N  59.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 200SE 150SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 44.5N  56.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  80SW  60NW.
34 KT...220NE 240SE 180SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 51.9N  50.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...100NE 120SE 120SW  60NW.
34 KT...200NE 270SE 250SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 58.5N  42.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 180SE 180SW  60NW.
34 KT...210NE 360SE 300SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 63.0N  20.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 240SE 240SW  60NW.
34 KT... 60NE 360SE 300SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z...ABSORBED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.7N  61.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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