Tropical Storm HILARY

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TROPICAL STORM HILARY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  32
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092011
0300 UTC THU SEP 29 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 119.3W AT 29/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE  30SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  70SE  60SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE 180SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 119.3W AT 29/0300Z
AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 119.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 20.4N 119.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 21.6N 120.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE   0SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 22.7N 121.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 23.5N 121.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 24.0N 123.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 23.5N 125.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.6N 119.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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