Hurricane HILARY

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HURRICANE HILARY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092011
1500 UTC MON SEP 26 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 113.1W AT 26/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  953 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  45SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 113.1W AT 26/1500Z
AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 112.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 16.8N 114.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 16.9N 115.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 17.3N 116.4W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  40SW  55NW.
34 KT...105NE  80SE  80SW 105NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 18.1N 116.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  45SW  55NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  80SW 105NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 20.4N 116.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 23.5N 116.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 26.5N 117.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N 113.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 
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