Tropical Storm BEATRIZ

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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BEATRIZ ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022011
200 AM PDT MON JUN 20 2011
 
...BEATRIZ GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED AND STRENGTHENING OFF OF THE
SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO...
...HURRICANE WATCH AND WARNING EXTENDED NORTHWARD ALONG THE COAST...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...15.7N 102.6W
ABOUT 155 MI...245 KM SSW OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO
ABOUT 255 MI...410 KM SSE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
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CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING
NORTHWARD TO LA FORTUNA.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAVE BEEN ISSUED FROM
NORTH OF LA FORTUNA TO CABO CORRIENTES.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM ZIHUATANEJO NORTHWESTWARD TO LA FORTUNA
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM NORTH OF LA FORTUNA NORTHWARD TO CABO
CORRIENTES.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM TECPAN DE GALEANA WESTWARD TO EAST OF
ZIHUATANEJO...AND FROM NORTH OF LA FORTUNA TO CABO CORRIENTES.
 
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA ...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BEATRIZ WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.6 WEST. BEATRIZ IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION WITH SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE
NEXT DAY OR TWO.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF BEATRIZ IS
EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE COAST WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA BY
LATE THIS EVENING OR EARLY TUESDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND BEATRIZ IS FORECAST TO BECOME A
HURRICANE LATER TODAY. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY
AND PROVIDE A BETTER ESTIMATE OF ITS STRENGTH.
 
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST WITHIN
THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA BY LATE MONDAY OR EARLY TUESDAY.
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRST REACH THE COAST
WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA ON MONDAY...MAKING OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS.
 
RAINFALL...BEATRIZ IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS
OF 6 TO 8 INCHES ALONG THE COASTS OF THE STATES OF JALISCO...
COLIMA...AND MICHOACAN IN SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO...WITH POSSIBLE
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.
THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD
SLIDES.
 
STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE COASTAL FLOODING
IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA.  NEAR
THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE
WAVES.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
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NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 AM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART/KIMBERLAIN
 
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