Hurricane KATIA

ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
HURRICANE KATIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  33                 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122011               
0900 UTC TUE SEP 06 2011                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE    
26.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
110 KTS...125 MPH...205 KM/H.                                       
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
I.  MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE                
                                                                    
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF 
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES 
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.              
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT.  X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS 
THAN 1 PERCENT.                                                     
                                                                    
                                                                    
      - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -      
                                                                    
VALID TIME   18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR   12      24      36      48      72      96     120  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED       X       X       X       X       1       3       5
TROP DEPRESSION  X       X       X       1       4       7      17
TROPICAL STORM   X       1       3      20      42      48      55
HURRICANE       99      99      97      79      53      42      23
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1        X       5      17      43      36      31      19
HUR CAT 2        4      23      34      22      12       8       2
HUR CAT 3       62      56      37      12       4       3       1
HUR CAT 4       32      14       9       3       1       X       X
HUR CAT 5        2       2       1       X       X       X       X
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND  115KT   110KT   105KT    90KT    80KT    75KT    65KT
                                                                    
                                                                    
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS             
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  14(14)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)
HIBERNIA OILFD 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
 
ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)
 
BURGEO NFLD    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)
 
PTX BASQUES    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
 
EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   2(10)
 
SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   3( 8)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  15(15)   5(20)
SABLE ISLAND   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   3( 7)
SABLE ISLAND   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
HALIFAX NS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   1(11)
 
YARMOUTH NS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   X( 9)
 
MONCTON NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)
 
ST JOHN NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)
 
EASTPORT ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)
 
BAR HARBOR ME  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)
 
BOSTON MA      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
HYANNIS MA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   X( 7)
 
NANTUCKET MA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   5( 9)   X( 9)
 
PROVIDENCE RI  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)
 
MONTAUK POINT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)
 
OCEAN CITY MD  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
CAPE HATTERAS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
BERMUDA        34  1   4( 5)   9(14)   5(19)   8(27)   1(28)   X(28)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN                                               
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