Hurricane KATIA

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HURRICANE KATIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  34
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122011
1500 UTC TUE SEP 06 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
BERMUDA.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N  65.9W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  954 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 55NE  55SE  50SW  55NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT.......180NE 120SE 105SW 135NW.
12 FT SEAS..390NE 210SE 180SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N  65.9W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.7N  65.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 27.9N  67.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 55NE  55SE  50SW  50NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 135SE 120SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 29.2N  68.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  55SE  50SW  50NW.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 120SW 135NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 30.9N  69.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  55SE  45SW  50NW.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 120SW 135NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 32.9N  70.1W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...180NE 165SE 120SW 135NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 37.5N  67.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  70SW  60NW.
34 KT...165NE 180SE 135SW 135NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 41.5N  56.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 49.0N  35.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.0N  65.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG/AVILA
 
 
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