Tropical Storm KIKO
ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM KIKO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152007
1500 UTC TUE OCT 16 2007
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KIKO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
14.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6)
CLIPPERTON IS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 143N 1085W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 143N 1085W 50 2 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
12 143N 1085W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
24 145N 1085W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
24 145N 1085W 50 1 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
24 145N 1085W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
36 150N 1085W 34 7 11(18) 7(25) 3(28) 5(33) 1(34) 1(35)
36 150N 1085W 50 1 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
36 150N 1085W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
48 153N 1085W 34 3 9(12) 9(21) 4(25) 4(29) 1(30) 1(31)
48 153N 1085W 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
48 153N 1085W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
72 155N 1090W 34 2 6( 8) 7(15) 5(20) 4(24) 2(26) 1(27)
72 155N 1090W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
72 155N 1090W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
96 160N 1095W 34 X 2( 2) 6( 8) 4(12) 7(19) 2(21) X(21)
96 160N 1095W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
96 160N 1095W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
120 165N 1100W 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 8(14) 1(15) 1(16)
120 165N 1100W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
120 165N 1100W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 35 35 35 35 35 35 35
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
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