Tropical Storm IVO
ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM IVO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122007
2100 UTC SAT SEP 22 2007
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IVO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
21.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X 5( 5) 4( 9) 1(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10)
LA PAZ 34 X 3( 3) 8(11) 3(14) 1(15) 1(16) X(16)
LORETO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
GUAYMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
HUATABAMPO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 1( 5)
LOS MOCHIS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) 1( 6)
CULICAN 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 222N 1122W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 222N 1122W 50 5 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
12 222N 1122W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 229N 1116W 34 26 22(48) 3(51) 1(52) X(52) X(52) X(52)
24 229N 1116W 50 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
24 229N 1116W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 236N 1109W 34 1 13(14) 9(23) 1(24) 2(26) X(26) X(26)
36 236N 1109W 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
36 236N 1109W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
48 242N 1104W 34 X 3( 3) 8(11) 3(14) 1(15) 1(16) X(16)
48 242N 1104W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3)
48 242N 1104W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
72 250N 1100W 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) 1(10) X(10)
72 250N 1100W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
72 250N 1100W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
96 260N 1100W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) 1( 7)
96 260N 1100W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
96 260N 1100W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 270N 1100W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 1( 4)
120 270N 1100W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 270N 1100W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 45 40 35 30 25 20 20
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI
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