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Tropical Depression TWELVE-E


ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2    
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP122007               
2100 UTC TUE SEP 18 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
CABO SAN LUCAS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
SAN JOSE CABO  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
LA PAZ         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
ISLA SOCORRO   34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   4( 9)   2(11)   1(12)
 
ISLA CLARION   34  X   1( 1)   5( 6)  15(21)  17(38)   3(41)   1(42)
ISLA CLARION   50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   7(10)   1(11)   X(11)
ISLA CLARION   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 145N 1101W 34 31  14(45)   X(45)   1(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)
 12 145N 1101W 50  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 12 145N 1101W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 154N 1122W 34  1  34(35)  10(45)   2(47)   2(49)   1(50)   X(50)
 24 154N 1122W 50  X   5( 5)   4( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   1(11)   X(11)
 24 154N 1122W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 
 36 162N 1137W 34  X   8( 8)  28(36)  10(46)   4(50)   1(51)   X(51)
 36 162N 1137W 50  X   1( 1)   7( 8)   4(12)   2(14)   1(15)   X(15)
 36 162N 1137W 64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
 48 171N 1146W 34  X   2( 2)  16(18)  17(35)  11(46)   2(48)   X(48)
 48 171N 1146W 50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   7(10)   4(14)   1(15)   X(15)
 48 171N 1146W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
 
 72 190N 1150W 34  X   X( X)   3( 3)  11(14)  18(32)   4(36)   1(37)
 72 190N 1150W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)   1(10)   X(10)
 72 190N 1150W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
 
 96 205N 1145W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)  14(19)   5(24)   1(25)
 96 205N 1145W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)
 96 205N 1145W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 
 
120 215N 1135W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   9(11)   5(16)   1(17)
120 215N 1135W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
120 215N 1135W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     35     40      45      50      55      45      30
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN