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Tropical Storm GIL


ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM GIL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3              
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP102007               
0300 UTC THU AUG 30 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GIL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 
19.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.                                         
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
ISLA CLARION   34  3   7(10)   X(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 198N 1136W 34 51   8(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)
 12 198N 1136W 50  4   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 12 198N 1136W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 199N 1158W 34  1  29(30)   5(35)   1(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)
 24 199N 1158W 50  X   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 24 199N 1158W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 36 198N 1180W 34  X   3( 3)  13(16)   5(21)   1(22)   X(22)   X(22)
 36 198N 1180W 50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 36 198N 1180W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 48 196N 1200W 34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   8(12)   5(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 48 196N 1200W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 48 196N 1200W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
 72 190N 1240W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 72 190N 1240W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 72 190N 1240W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     40     35      30      30      25       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
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