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Tropical Storm DALILA


ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM DALILA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  14           
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP072007               
0900 UTC WED JUL 25 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DALILA WAS LOCATED NEAR       
LATITUDE 19.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
CABO SAN LUCAS 34  2   2( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
SAN JOSE CABO  34  1   2( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
LA PAZ         34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
ISLA SOCORRO   34 99   1(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
ISLA SOCORRO   50 53   1(54)   X(54)   X(54)   X(54)   X(54)   X(54)
 
ISLA CLARION   34  1   4( 5)   3( 8)   2(10)   X(10)   1(11)   X(11)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 197N 1116W 34 72  19(91)   1(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)
 12 197N 1116W 50 21  14(35)   1(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)
 12 197N 1116W 64  3   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
 24 206N 1127W 34 13  48(61)  11(72)   2(74)   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)
 24 206N 1127W 50  1  16(17)   6(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)
 24 206N 1127W 64  X   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
 36 214N 1140W 34  2  14(16)  26(42)   8(50)   2(52)   X(52)   X(52)
 36 214N 1140W 50  X   2( 2)   9(11)   2(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 36 214N 1140W 64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 48 222N 1155W 34  1   2( 3)  11(14)  15(29)   6(35)   X(35)   X(35)
 48 222N 1155W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 48 222N 1155W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 
 72 235N 1185W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   7(11)   2(13)   X(13)
 72 235N 1185W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 72 235N 1185W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 96 240N 1210W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)
 96 240N 1210W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 96 240N 1210W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
120 240N 1235W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
120 240N 1235W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
120 240N 1235W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     55     55      50      45      35      25      20
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
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