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Tropical Depression SEVEN-E


ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4     
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP072007               
2100 UTC SUN JUL 22 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR 
LATITUDE 12.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
CABO SAN LUCAS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)
 
SAN JOSE CABO  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
LA PAZ         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
ISLA SOCORRO   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)  12(15)   7(22)   3(25)
ISLA SOCORRO   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)
 
ISLA CLARION   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)  14(24)   3(27)
ISLA CLARION   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   1( 7)
 
CLIPPERTON IS  34  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 132N 1083W 34 16  12(28)   2(30)   2(32)   2(34)   X(34)   X(34)
 12 132N 1083W 50  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 12 132N 1083W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 138N 1097W 34  1  23(24)  11(35)   4(39)   3(42)   1(43)   X(43)
 24 138N 1097W 50  X   3( 3)   3( 6)   2( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 24 138N 1097W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 36 143N 1105W 34  X  12(12)  17(29)   8(37)   5(42)   2(44)   1(45)
 36 143N 1105W 50  X   1( 1)   5( 6)   3( 9)   2(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 36 143N 1105W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)
 
 48 151N 1111W 34  X   4( 4)  14(18)  12(30)  12(42)   3(45)   1(46)
 48 151N 1111W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   4(11)   1(12)   X(12)
 48 151N 1111W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)
 
 
 72 170N 1125W 34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)  20(29)   9(38)   2(40)
 72 170N 1125W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   3(10)   1(11)
 72 170N 1125W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)
 
 
 96 190N 1145W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)  13(22)   4(26)
 96 190N 1145W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   1( 7)
 96 190N 1145W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
 
120 210N 1175W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   4(11)
120 210N 1175W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
120 210N 1175W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     30     35      40      45      55      60      50
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
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