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NOAA NOAA United States Department of Commerce

Tropical Depression SIX-E


ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3       
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP062007               
0300 UTC SUN JUL 15 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E WAS LOCATED NEAR   
LATITUDE 11.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 127.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 115N 1281W 34 14  11(25)   4(29)   1(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)
 12 115N 1281W 50  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 12 115N 1281W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 122N 1293W 34  1  24(25)  14(39)   2(41)   X(41)   X(41)   X(41)
 24 122N 1293W 50  X   4( 4)   3( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 24 122N 1293W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 36 130N 1307W 34  X   6( 6)  28(34)   8(42)   3(45)   X(45)   X(45)
 36 130N 1307W 50  X   X( X)   8( 8)   2(10)   2(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 36 130N 1307W 64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 48 137N 1322W 34  X   1( 1)  13(14)  16(30)   8(38)   1(39)   X(39)
 48 137N 1322W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   2(10)   1(11)   X(11)
 48 137N 1322W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 
 72 145N 1360W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  13(15)   4(19)   1(20)
 72 145N 1360W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 72 145N 1360W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 96 150N 1390W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   5(10)   1(11)
 96 150N 1390W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 96 150N 1390W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
120 155N 1420W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)
120 155N 1420W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
120 155N 1420W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     30     35      45      45      40      35      30
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER FRANKLIN                                                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
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