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Tropical Storm BARBARA


ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM BARBARA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7          
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP022007               
0900 UTC THU MAY 31 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BARBARA WAS LOCATED NEAR      
LATITUDE 13.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
L CARDENAS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
ZIHUATANEJO    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
ACAPULCO       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   3( 6)   3( 9)
 
P MALDONADO    34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   5( 9)   4(13)   3(16)
 
P ANGEL        34  1   2( 3)   6( 9)   8(17)   9(26)   6(32)   2(34)
P ANGEL        50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   3( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)
 
HUATULCO       34  1   2( 3)   5( 8)   8(16)  10(26)   6(32)   3(35)
HUATULCO       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)   1( 7)
 
SALINA CRUZ    34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   4( 7)   7(14)   6(20)   2(22)
SALINA CRUZ    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)
 
TAPACHULA      34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   6(10)   3(13)   4(17)
 
P SAN JOSE     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   2( 6)   3( 9)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 129N  966W 34 73  16(89)   4(93)   1(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)
 12 129N  966W 50  9   5(14)   8(22)   1(23)   2(25)   2(27)   X(27)
 12 129N  966W 64  1   1( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
 24 128N  965W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 24 128N  965W 50  8   6(14)   9(23)   1(24)   2(26)   1(27)   1(28)
 24 128N  965W 64  1   2( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
 36 133N  963W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 36 133N  963W 50  4   6(10)  11(21)   3(24)   2(26)   1(27)   X(27)
 36 133N  963W 64  X   2( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
 48 138N  961W 34 22  12(34)  24(58)   4(62)   4(66)   1(67)   X(67)
 48 138N  961W 50  1   3( 4)   9(13)   5(18)   4(22)   1(23)   1(24)
 48 138N  961W 64  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)
 
 
 72 145N  960W 34  4   8(12)  21(33)   8(41)   9(50)   3(53)   1(54)
 72 145N  960W 50  X   1( 1)   5( 6)   3( 9)   4(13)   3(16)   X(16)
 72 145N  960W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
 
 96 155N  965W 34  1   2( 3)   8(11)   8(19)   8(27)   7(34)   2(36)
 96 155N  965W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   4( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)
 96 155N  965W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 
 
120 160N  980W 34  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   4( 8)   6(14)   5(19)   4(23)
120 160N  980W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
120 160N  980W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     45     50      55      60      65      70      65
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN