Tropical Storm INGRID

ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM INGRID WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   9           
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL082007               
1500 UTC FRI SEP 14 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM INGRID WAS LOCATED NEAR       
LATITUDE 15.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 50.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
BARBUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 155N  508W 34 36   9(45)   1(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)
 12 155N  508W 50  2   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 12 155N  508W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 165N  522W 34  2  21(23)   8(31)   1(32)   1(33)   X(33)   X(33)
 24 165N  522W 50  X   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 24 165N  522W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 36 175N  535W 34  X   6( 6)  15(21)   5(26)   1(27)   1(28)   X(28)
 36 175N  535W 50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 36 175N  535W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 48 185N  550W 34  X   1( 1)   6( 7)   7(14)   5(19)   1(20)   1(21)
 48 185N  550W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 48 185N  550W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 72 200N  575W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   8(11)   4(15)   2(17)
 72 200N  575W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 72 200N  575W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 96 215N  595W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   6(12)   1(13)
 96 215N  595W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 96 215N  595W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
120 230N  610W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   2( 9)
120 230N  610W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
120 230N  610W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     35     35      35      30      30      30      30
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER AVILA                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN