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Tropical Storm SERGIO

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TROPICAL STORM SERGIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP212006
1500 UTC SUN NOV 19 2006
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 105.5W AT 19/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 105.5W AT 19/1500Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 105.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 15.4N 105.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 15.6N 106.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 15.8N 107.2W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 16.0N 108.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 16.0N 110.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 105.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI
 
 
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