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Tropical Depression PAUL


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BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION PAUL ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP172006
800 PM PDT WED OCT 25 2006
 
...PAUL WEAKENS JUST OFFSHORE OF WESTERN MEXICO... 
 
AT 800 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION PAUL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.1 WEST OR ABOUT 150
MILES...240 KM...NORTHWEST OF MAZATLAN MEXICO AND ABOUT 95 MILES...
150 KM...SOUTHEAST OF LOS MOCHIS MEXICO.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 8 MPH.  THIS MOTION
SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF PAUL ONSHORE OVERNIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 30 MPH...45
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  FURTHER WEAKENING IS LIKELY OVERNIGHT.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.

PAUL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1
TO 2 INCHES OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SIERRA MADRE
OCCIDENTAL. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES.
 
REPEATING THE 800 PM PDT POSITION...24.7 N...108.1 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 8 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
200 AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/FRANKLIN
 
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