Tropical Depression PAUL
ZCZC MIATCPEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION PAUL ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172006 800 PM PDT WED OCT 25 2006 ...PAUL WEAKENS JUST OFFSHORE OF WESTERN MEXICO... AT 800 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION PAUL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.1 WEST OR ABOUT 150 MILES...240 KM...NORTHWEST OF MAZATLAN MEXICO AND ABOUT 95 MILES... 150 KM...SOUTHEAST OF LOS MOCHIS MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 8 MPH. THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF PAUL ONSHORE OVERNIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FURTHER WEAKENING IS LIKELY OVERNIGHT. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES. PAUL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SIERRA MADRE OCCIDENTAL. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 800 PM PDT POSITION...24.7 N...108.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 200 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/FRANKLIN NNNN