Hurricane PAUL

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BULLETIN
HURRICANE PAUL ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP172006
800 AM PDT MON OCT 23 2006

...PAUL STRENGTHENING AS IT TURNS NORTHWARD...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA FROM AGUA BLANCA SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST...AND FROM
LA PAZ SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY
WITHIN 36 HOURS.  ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED
LATER TODAY.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 800 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE PAUL WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.5 WEST OR ABOUT 455 MILES
...730 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO.
 
PAUL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/HR...AND
A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED LATER TODAY. 
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 110 MPH...175 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  PAUL COULD BECOME A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE LATER TODAY. 
AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO
INVESTIGATE THE HURRICANE THIS AFTERNOON.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES...185 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 965 MB...28.50 INCHES.
 
REPEATING THE 800 AM PDT POSITION...16.5 N...111.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...965 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 1100 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 200
PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER RHOME/PASCH
 
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