Tropical Storm JOHN

ZCZC MIATCPEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JOHN ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP112006
800 PM PDT SAT SEP 02 2006
 
...JOHN WEAKENING AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE EAST COAST OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA TO SAN EVARISTO.  A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS EFFECT ALONG THE WEST COAST OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA FROM PUNTA EUGENIA SOUTHWARD TO SANTA FE.  A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN AND NEAR THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA...BAJA
CALIFORNIA....AND NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF JOHN.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 800 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JOHN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.7 WEST OR ABOUT
35 MILES... 55 KM...SOUTHWEST OF LORETO MEXICO AND ABOUT 40 MILES...
65 KM...NORTH OF CIUDAD CONSTITUCION MEXICO.
 
JOHN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 
THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF JOHN OVER OR NEAR THE
CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA TONIGHT AND
SUNDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS JOHN
INTERACTS WITH THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM
MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES.
 
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW NEAR THE PATH OF THE CENTER OF
THE HURRICANE.
 
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM
TOTALS UP TO 18 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
BAJA PENINSULA.  THE WEST COAST OF MEXICO FROM LA CRUZ TO GUAYMAS
COULD SEE 3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 10
INCHES.  THESE AMOUNTS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUDSLIDES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.
 
REPEATING THE 800 PM PDT POSITION...25.6 N...111.7 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 1100 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 200
AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
NNNN