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Hurricane JOHN

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HURRICANE JOHN ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP112006
200 AM PDT WED AUG 30 2006
 
...JOHN REMAINS A DANGEROUS CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE...
...AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT EN-ROUTE...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE WEST COAST OF MEXICO
FROM LAZARO CARDENAS WESTWARD TO LA FORTUNA.  A HURRICANE WARNING
MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING
AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.  HURRICANE WARNINGS WILL
LIKELY NEED TO BE EXTENDED WESTWARD LATER TODAY. 
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TECPAN DE GALEANA TO LAZARO
CARDENAS AND ALSO FROM LA FORTUNA TO CABO CORRIENTES.  A HURRICANE
WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PUNTO MALDONADO TO
LAZARO CARDENAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
  
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 200 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JOHN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 15.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.3 WEST OR ABOUT 130 MILES
...210 KM...SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO AND ABOUT 175 MILES...285
KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO.
 
JOHN IS MOVING BETWEEN THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST NEAR 12
MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. WHILE THE CENTER OF JOHN IS FORECAST TO REMAIN JUST
OFFSHORE...ANY DEVIATION TO THE RIGHT OF TRACK...WILL BRING
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS TO THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA.  
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  JOHN IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE.  SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 
24 HOURS...AND JOHN COULD BECOME A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE LATER
TODAY.  AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE HURRICANE HUNTER
AIRCRAFT IN CURRENTLY EN-ROUTE TO INVESTIGATE JOHN AND SHOULD
PROVIDE A BETTER ASSESSMENT OF THE INTENSITY. 
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125
MILES...205 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 962 MB...28.41 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED TOTALS UP TO
12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN THE
WARNING AREAS.  THESE AMOUNTS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.

REPEATING THE 200 AM PDT POSITION...15.6 N...101.3 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...962 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 500 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 800
AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN/STEWART
 
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