Hurricane ILEANA
ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE ILEANA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102006
2100 UTC THU AUG 24 2006
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ILEANA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
20.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 115.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
85 KTS...100 MPH...160 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
ISLA CLARION 34 5 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 214N 1165W 34 96 2(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)
12 214N 1165W 50 84 4(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88)
12 214N 1165W 64 46 9(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) X(55)
24 221N 1176W 34 61 21(82) 2(84) X(84) 1(85) X(85) X(85)
24 221N 1176W 50 16 31(47) 1(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48)
24 221N 1176W 64 2 13(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
36 225N 1185W 34 17 34(51) 7(58) 2(60) 1(61) X(61) X(61)
36 225N 1185W 50 3 13(16) 4(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
36 225N 1185W 64 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
48 226N 1196W 34 6 15(21) 8(29) 4(33) 2(35) X(35) X(35)
48 226N 1196W 50 1 2( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
48 226N 1196W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
72 227N 1214W 34 2 5( 7) 2( 9) 4(13) 3(16) X(16) X(16)
72 227N 1214W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
72 227N 1214W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
96 225N 1235W 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
96 225N 1235W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
96 225N 1235W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 80 60 45 35 25 20 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN/FRANKLIN
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