Tropical Storm EMILIA
ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM EMILIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062006
2100 UTC MON JUL 24 2006
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EMILIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 2 6( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 2 5( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
LA PAZ 34 1 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
LORETO 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ISLA SOCORRO 50 6 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
ISLA CLARION 34 2 6( 8) 2(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 198N 1113W 34 90 6(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96)
12 198N 1113W 50 32 15(47) 1(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48)
12 198N 1113W 64 4 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
24 210N 1128W 34 12 65(77) 8(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85)
24 210N 1128W 50 X 30(30) 10(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40)
24 210N 1128W 64 X 9( 9) 4(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
36 223N 1145W 34 2 20(22) 37(59) 6(65) X(65) 1(66) X(66)
36 223N 1145W 50 X 2( 2) 18(20) 3(23) 1(24) X(24) X(24)
36 223N 1145W 64 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
48 235N 1162W 34 X 5( 5) 15(20) 15(35) 5(40) X(40) X(40)
48 235N 1162W 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11)
48 235N 1162W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
72 250N 1190W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 7(13) 2(15) X(15)
72 250N 1190W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
72 250N 1190W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
96 260N 1215W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6)
96 260N 1215W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
96 260N 1215W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 55 65 60 45 30 25 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BROWN/STEWART
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