Tropical Storm CARLOTTA
ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042006
0900 UTC WED JUL 12 2006
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 103.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 X 2( 2) 12(14) 12(26) 5(31) 1(32) X(32)
ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 25(37) 4(41) X(41)
ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 3(15) X(15)
ISLA CLARION 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
CLIPPERTON IS 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 146N 1056W 34 69 15(84) 1(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85)
12 146N 1056W 50 9 8(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
12 146N 1056W 64 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
24 154N 1080W 34 2 67(69) 12(81) 2(83) X(83) X(83) X(83)
24 154N 1080W 50 X 24(24) 12(36) 1(37) X(37) X(37) X(37)
24 154N 1080W 64 X 6( 6) 5(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
36 160N 1102W 34 X 17(17) 47(64) 11(75) 3(78) 1(79) X(79)
36 160N 1102W 50 X 1( 1) 25(26) 11(37) 3(40) X(40) X(40)
36 160N 1102W 64 X X( X) 9( 9) 6(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16)
48 165N 1120W 34 X 3( 3) 27(30) 25(55) 14(69) 1(70) X(70)
48 165N 1120W 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 17(23) 8(31) 1(32) X(32)
48 165N 1120W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 3(12) 1(13) X(13)
72 170N 1155W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 28(38) 9(47) 1(48)
72 170N 1155W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 4(17) X(17)
72 170N 1155W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
96 185N 1180W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 12(26) 1(27)
96 185N 1180W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7)
96 185N 1180W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2)
120 205N 1205W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 2(10)
120 205N 1205W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
120 205N 1205W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 45 60 70 75 70 60 40
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/KNABB
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