Hurricane BUD

ZCZC MIAPWSEP3 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE BUD WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  15                   
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP032006               
0900 UTC FRI JUL 14 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BUD WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.5 
NORTH...LONGITUDE 125.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70   
KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/HR.                                           
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
20N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)
 
25N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 201N 1279W 34 66   8(74)   1(75)   X(75)   X(75)   X(75)   X(75)
 12 201N 1279W 50 23   4(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)
 12 201N 1279W 64  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 209N 1305W 34  X  22(22)   5(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)
 24 209N 1305W 50  X   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 24 209N 1305W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 36 215N 1331W 34  X   1( 1)  11(12)   4(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 36 215N 1331W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 36 215N 1331W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 48 218N 1357W 34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   3(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 48 218N 1357W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 48 218N 1357W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 72 220N 1410W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)   1( 8)
 72 220N 1410W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)
 72 220N 1410W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 96 220N 1460W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)
 96 220N 1460W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 96 220N 1460W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
120 220N 1505W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
120 220N 1505W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
120 220N 1505W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     50     35      30      25      20      20      20
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER KNABB                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
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