Tropical Storm HELENE

ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM HELENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7            
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL082006               
0300 UTC THU SEP 14 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EIGHT WAS LOCATED NEAR        
LATITUDE 13.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 32.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 137N  350W 34 71   9(80)   X(80)   X(80)   X(80)   1(81)   X(81)
 12 137N  350W 50  9   5(14)   1(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 12 137N  350W 64  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)
 
 24 147N  374W 34  5  63(68)   9(77)   2(79)   1(80)   X(80)   X(80)
 24 147N  374W 50  X  21(21)  10(31)   2(33)   X(33)   X(33)   1(34)
 24 147N  374W 64  X   4( 4)   3( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
 36 159N  395W 34  X  19(19)  42(61)  10(71)   4(75)   X(75)   1(76)
 36 159N  395W 50  X   1( 1)  26(27)   9(36)   3(39)   X(39)   1(40)
 36 159N  395W 64  X   X( X)   7( 7)   5(12)   2(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
 48 174N  410W 34  X   3( 3)  27(30)  27(57)  12(69)   2(71)   1(72)
 48 174N  410W 50  X   X( X)   6( 6)  19(25)  10(35)   1(36)   1(37)
 48 174N  410W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)   6(16)   1(17)   X(17)
 
 
 72 200N  435W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  14(15)  33(48)   9(57)   2(59)
 72 200N  435W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  18(22)   6(28)   2(30)
 72 200N  435W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)   5(16)   1(17)
 
 
 96 215N  458W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  24(26)  16(42)   7(49)
 96 215N  458W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)  11(20)   3(23)
 96 215N  458W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   6(11)   2(13)
 
 
120 225N  490W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  15(21)  10(31)
120 225N  490W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   7(16)
120 225N  490W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   3( 7)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     45     55      65      75      90      95      85
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER AVILA/LANDSEA                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN