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Hurricane OTIS

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TROPICAL STORM OTIS ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 PM PDT SUN OCT 02 2005
 
...OTIS PARALLELING THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...CONTINUES TO
WEAKEN...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM AGUA BLANCA TO BAHIA MAGDALENA. AT 2 PM
PDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL OTHER
COASTAL WARNINGS AND WATCHES.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE NEAR BOTH COASTS OF THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
OTIS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OTIS WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 23.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.3 WEST OR ABOUT  155
MILES... 245 KM...WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
AND ABOUT  125 MILES... 200 KM...SOUTH OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO.
 
OTIS HAS BEGUN TO MOVE TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH
...11 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH TONIGHT.  THE CENTER OF OTIS IS CURRENTLY FORECAST TO
REMAIN WEST OR VERY NEAR THE WEST COAST OF SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  HOWEVER...ANY MOTION TO THE RIGHT OF THE
FORECAST TRACK COULD BRING THE CENTER NEAR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA
TODAY OR MONDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR  45 MPH... 75
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES
...140 KM MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.

OTIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2
INCHES OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA THROUGH
MONDAY...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 4 INCHES OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN OF THE CENTRAL BAJA PENINSULA.
  
REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...23.0 N...112.3 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR  7 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 45 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 5 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 PM
PDT.
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
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