Tropical Storm FERNANDA

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TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP062005
1500Z WED AUG 10 2005
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 118.6W AT 10/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  35 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 118.6W AT 10/1500Z
AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 118.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 16.0N 119.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 16.4N 121.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 35NE  25SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 17.0N 122.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 35NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 17.6N 123.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 18.2N 125.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 18.5N 128.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 18.5N 130.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 118.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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