Hurricane JAVIER
ZCZC MIATCPEP3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM JAVIER INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 32A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM PDT SAT SEP 18 2004 ...JAVIER TURNS TO THE NORTH... A BIT WEAKER... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA TO PUNTA ENGENIA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM NORTH OF PUNTA ENGENIA TO SAN JOSE DE LAS PALOMAS. AT 11 AM PDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JAVIER WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.4 WEST OR ABOUT 100 MILES... 160 KM... SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO. JAVIER IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH SOME ACCELERATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES ...140 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE VALUES OF 1 TO 2 FT ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ARE POSSIBLE NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ARE LIKELY ON THE WESTERN COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE CYCLONE. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 11 AM PDT POSITION...23.9 N...113.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 994 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM PDT. FORECASTER BLAKE/LAWRENCE $$ NNNN

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