Hurricane IVAN
ZCZC MIATCPAT4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM CCA BULLETIN HURRICANE IVAN ADVISORY NUMBER 20...CORRECTED NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 AM AST TUE SEP 07 2004 CORRECTED TO INCLUDE BARBADOS IN TROPICAL STORM WARNING STATEMENT ...HURRICANE IVAN GETTING STRONGER AND BETTER ORGANIZED AS IT RACES TOWARD THE WINDWARD ISLANDS... AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS REPLACED THE HURRICANE WARNING WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR BARBADOS. A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR ST. VINCENT... THE GRENADINES...TOBAGO...AND GRENADA AND ITS DEPENDENCIES. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR BARBADOS...TRINIDAD... MARTINIQUE...AND ST. LUCIA. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES AND THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IVAN. AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IVAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.5 WEST OR ABOUT 140 MILES... 230 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF BARBADOS. THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 140 MILES...225 KM...EAST OF TOBAGO. IVAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR...AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS RECENTLY REPORTED AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS NEAR 110 MPH...175 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND IVAN WILL LIKELY BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE AGAIN LATER TODAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES...260 KM. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 965 MB...28.50 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS... ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE THE CENTER PASSES THROUGH THE WINDWARD ISLANDS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 7 INCHES...POSSIBLY CAUSING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...CAN BE EXPECTED AS IVAN PASSES THROUGH THE SOUTHERN LESSER ANTILLES. REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...11.4 N... 58.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 965 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM AST. FORECASTER STEWART $$ NNNN