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Hurricane IVAN

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HURRICANE IVAN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  52
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT WED SEP 15 2004
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF IVAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  87.8 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1AM CDT SAT SEP 18 2004
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
29.6N  88.2W      36  X  X  X 36   CEDAR KEY FL       X  1  4  3  8
32.0N  87.7W       8 19  1  X 28   ST MARKS FL        1  6  4  3 14
33.5N  87.0W       X 17  4  1 22   APALACHICOLA FL    5  9  2  1 17
COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  X  2  2   PANAMA CITY FL    10  9  1  1 21
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  1  3  4   PENSACOLA FL      22  8  X  X 30
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  2  5  7   MOBILE AL         26  5  1  X 32
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  1  7  8   GULFPORT MS       27  3  X  X 30
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  6  6   BURAS LA          29  X  X  X 29
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X  4  4   NEW ORLEANS LA    19  2  X  X 21
WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X  3  3   NEW IBERIA LA      3  2  X  1  6
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X  2  2   GULF 29N 85W       7  7  1  1 16
FT MYERS FL        X  X  X  2  2   GULF 29N 87W      34  X  X  X 34
VENICE FL          X  X  1  2  3   GULF 28N 89W      50  X  X  X 50
TAMPA FL           X  1  1  2  4   GULF 28N 91W       7  1  X  1  9
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1AM THU TO  1PM THU
C FROM  1PM THU TO  1AM FRI
D FROM  1AM FRI TO  1AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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