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Hurricane IVAN

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HURRICANE IVAN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  45
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT MON SEP 13 2004
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF IVAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  84.4 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT THU SEP 16 2004
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
23.2N  86.5W      40  X  X  X 40   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  1  8  9
25.2N  87.4W       2 25  1  X 28   ST MARKS FL        X  X  1 10 11
27.2N  87.7W       X 10 11  1 22   APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  3 10 13
MUSN 216N 826W    14  X  X  1 15   PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  4 10 14
MUHA 230N 824W     1  1  1  1  4   PENSACOLA FL       X  X  4 11 15
MUAN 219N 850W    66  X  X  X 66   MOBILE AL          X  X  5 10 15
MMCZ 205N 869W    26  X  X  1 27   GULFPORT MS        X  X  6 10 16
MMMD 210N 897W     1  X  X  1  2   BURAS LA           X  X 12  5 17
MARATHON FL        X  X  1  2  3   NEW ORLEANS LA     X  X  8  8 16
MIAMI FL           X  X  X  2  2   NEW IBERIA LA      X  X  5  8 13
W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  X  3  3   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  X  1  7  8
FT PIERCE FL       X  X  X  3  3   GALVESTON TX       X  X  1  5  6
COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  X  4  4   FREEPORT TX        X  X  1  3  4
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  X  5  5   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  X  X  2  2
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  X  6  6   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  6  8 14
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  4  4   GULF 29N 87W       X  X 12  6 18
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  3  3   GULF 28N 89W       X  4 14  3 21
KEY WEST FL        X  1  1  2  4   GULF 28N 91W       X  2 11  4 17
MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  1  4  5   GULF 28N 93W       X  X  6  4 10
FT MYERS FL        X  X  2  4  6   GULF 28N 95W       X  X  1  3  4
VENICE FL          X  X  2  6  8   GULF 27N 96W       X  X  X  2  2
TAMPA FL           X  X  2  6  8
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM TUE TO  8PM TUE
C FROM  8PM TUE TO  8AM WED
D FROM  8AM WED TO  8AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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