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Hurricane IVAN


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HURRICANE IVAN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  26
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST WED SEP 08 2004
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF IVAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  67.7 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST SAT SEP 11 2004
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
15.5N  72.5W      46  X  X  X 46   MDPP 198N 707W     X  2  X  X  2
17.0N  74.7W       4 29  X  X 33   MYMM 224N 730W     X  X  2  2  4
18.5N  77.0W       X 11 17  X 28   MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  1  3  4
SKPG 125N 717W     2  X  X  X  2   MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  3  7 10
TNCC 122N 690W     2  X  X  X  2   MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  2 10 12
MDSD 185N 697W     1  1  X  X  2   MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X  8  8
MDCB 176N 714W    16  6  X  1 23   MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  X  5  5
MTPP 186N 724W     2 17  1  X 20   MARATHON FL        X  X  X 11 11
MTCA 183N 738W     1 27  1  X 29   MIAMI FL           X  X  X  8  8
MKJP 179N 768W     X 16 12  1 29   W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  X  6  6
MKJS 185N 779W     X  4 20  1 25   FT PIERCE FL       X  X  X  4  4
MWCG 193N 814W     X  X  3 13 16   COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  X  2  2
MUGM 200N 751W     X 10 13  1 24   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X 11 11
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X 15  6 21   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  X  7  7
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  3 15 18   FT MYERS FL        X  X  X  6  6
MUSN 216N 826W     X  X  X 13 13   VENICE FL          X  X  X  4  4
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  X 13 13   TAMPA FL           X  X  X  2  2
MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  X  6  6
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM THU TO  2AM FRI
C FROM  2AM FRI TO  2PM FRI
D FROM  2PM FRI TO  2PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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