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Hurricane IVAN

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HURRICANE IVAN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST SUN SEP 05 2004
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF IVAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 10.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  49.4 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST WED SEP  8 2004
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
12.2N  55.6W      52  1  X  X 53   TKPK 173N 627W     X  X  7 11 18
13.0N  58.9W       X 34  X  X 34   TNCM 181N 631W     X  X  2 13 15
13.8N  61.7W       X  6 19  1 26   TISX 177N 648W     X  X  1 17 18
TNCC 122N 690W     X  X  X  4  4   TIST 183N 650W     X  X  X 17 17
SVMG 110N 640W     X  X  4  4  8   TJPS 180N 666W     X  X  X 19 19
TTPP 106N 614W     X  3  5  1  9   MDSD 185N 697W     X  X  X 13 13
TTPT 112N 608W     X  9  6  X 15   MDCB 176N 714W     X  X  X  8  8
TGPY 120N 618W     X  5 13  X 18   MTPP 186N 724W     X  X  X  4  4
TBPB 131N 595W     X 30  2  X 32   MTCA 183N 738W     X  X  X  2  2
TVSV 131N 612W     X 12 13  X 25   TJSJ 184N 661W     X  X  X 17 17
TLPL 138N 610W     X 13 14  X 27   MDPP 198N 707W     X  X  X  7  7
TFFF 146N 610W     X  9 17  1 27   MBJT 215N 712W     X  X  X  2  2
TDPR 153N 614W     X  3 20  2 25   ST CROIX VI        X  X  1 17 18
80400 157N 636W    X  X 12 11 23   ST THOMAS VI       X  X  X 17 17
TFFR 163N 615W     X  1 16  4 21   SAN JUAN PR        X  X  X 17 17
TAPA 171N 618W     X  X 10  8 18   PONCE PR           X  X  X 19 19
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM MON TO  8AM TUE
C FROM  8AM TUE TO  8PM TUE
D FROM  8PM TUE TO  8PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER JARVINEN/HENNON
 
 
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