Hurricane FRANCES
ZCZC MIASPFAT1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE FRANCES PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 PM AST FRI AUG 27 2004 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF FRANCES WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 50.5 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM AST MON AUG 30 2004 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 18.3N 53.3W 52 X X X 52 TKPK 173N 627W X X X 6 6 19.1N 54.9W 19 15 1 X 35 TNCM 181N 631W X X X 7 7 19.8N 56.8W X 18 9 1 28 TISX 177N 648W X X X 2 2 TFFF 146N 610W X X X 2 2 TIST 183N 650W X X X 2 2 TDPR 153N 614W X X X 3 3 ST CROIX VI X X X 2 2 TFFR 163N 615W X X X 5 5 ST THOMAS VI X X X 2 2 TAPA 171N 618W X X X 7 7 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM SAT FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 8PM SAT TO 8AM SUN C FROM 8AM SUN TO 8PM SUN D FROM 8PM SUN TO 8PM MON E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM MON X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT FORECASTER JARVINEN $$ NNNN