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Tropical Storm ALEX


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TROPICAL STORM ALEX PROBABILITIES NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT MON AUG 02 2004
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF ALEX WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 32.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  78.5 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT THU AUG  5 2004
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
34.8N  75.3W      41  X  X  X 41   BOSTON MA          X  1  7  1  9
36.7N  72.0W       2 18  2  X 22   PORTLAND ME        X  X  5  2  7
39.0N  67.0W       X  1 11  3 15   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  3  4  7
BERMUDA            X  X  2  1  3   EASTPORT ME        X  X  2  5  7
CHARLESTON SC     29  X  X  X 29   ST JOHN NB         X  X  1  6  7
MYRTLE BEACH SC   43  X  X  X 43   MONCTON NB         X  X  1  6  7
WILMINGTON NC     46  X  X  X 46   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  3  6  9
MOREHEAD CITY NC  46  X  X  X 46   HALIFAX NS         X  X  1  8  9
CAPE HATTERAS NC  39  X  X  X 39   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  X 10 10
NORFOLK VA        15  7  X  X 22   SYDNEY NS          X  X  X  8  8
OCEAN CITY MD      2 13  1  X 16   EDDY POINT NS      X  X  X  9  9
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  9  3  X 12   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  X  X  6  6
NEW YORK CITY NY   X  5  5  X 10   BURGEO NFLD        X  X  X  7  7
MONTAUK POINT NY   X  3  8  X 11   ILE ST PIERRE      X  X  X  7  7
PROVIDENCE RI      X  2  7  1 10   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  X  X  6  6
NANTUCKET MA       X  2  9  1 12   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  X  X  2  2
HYANNIS MA         X  1  9  1 11
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM TUE TO  2AM WED
C FROM  2AM WED TO  2PM WED
D FROM  2PM WED TO  2PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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